WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Saints vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 51.5 (-120) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 62.5 plays per game.
- The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to garner 16.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
- Rachaad White has been much more involved in his offense’s running game this year (59.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.7%).
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
- Rachaad White’s running efficiency (3.01 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (20th percentile among RBs).
- The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
