NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Jaguars vs. Chargers
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (+105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-125) after it opened @ 32.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 67.7% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
Cons
- Gerald Everett has gone out for fewer passes this year (59.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (71.0%).
- Gerald Everett’s receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 69.2%.
- Gerald Everett’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a measly 6.78 yards-per-target compared to a 7.95 mark last year.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
