WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Vikings vs. Giants
Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 273.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 273.5 (-110) after it opened @ 266.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O’Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.6% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
- Kirk Cousins has been among the leading QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 271.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.
Cons
- The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
- The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in football versus the New York Giants defense this year (67.4%).
- The New York Giants defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
311
Passing Yards
311
Passing Yards
