Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Chiefs vs. Seahawks
Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 7.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has posted many more receiving yards per game (69.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Cons
- The Chiefs are a giant 10.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has been used less as a potential target this season (76.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) vs. WRs this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.73 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
