Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight

Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards

Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-117) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

The New England Patriots have used some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards