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Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

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D.J. Moore

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 15

Panthers vs. Steelers

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup quarterback Sam Darnold in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.4% of his team’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to garner 6.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (170.0) to WRs this year.
Cons

  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards

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