Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cam AkersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Rams vs. Raiders
Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-133) after it opened @ 44.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to garner 13.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
- Cam Akers has earned 47.8% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
- The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback John Wolford in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
- The Rams rank as the 9th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.1% run rate.
- Cam Akers’s ground efficiency (3.31 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (2nd percentile among RBs).
- The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
