Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per play.
Austin Ekeler has been given 58.4% of his team’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
Austin Ekeler has run for substantially fewer yards per game (51.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards