Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Justin HerbertPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 280.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 280.5 (-120) after it opened @ 288.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 41.7 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (275.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
Cons
- Justin Herbert has been among the least effective passers in football this year, averaging a measly 6.49 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 18th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
298
Passing Yards
298
Passing Yards
