Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Foster Moreau from EV Insight

Foster MoreauReceiving Yards

Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau has gone out for fewer passes this season (77.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (45.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
Foster Moreau has posted quite a few more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
Foster Moreau has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Cons

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.9%) versus TEs this year (61.9%).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards