Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (+100/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (+100) after it opened @ 34.5 (-115).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 25.8% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has been responsible for a whopping 26.1% of his team’s air yards this year: 78th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.8 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a mere 59.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among WRs
Drake London has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.35 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 16th percentile among wideouts

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards