Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Darius SlaytonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Darius Slayton’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
- Darius Slayton has received a colossal 31.3% of his team’s air yards this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.
- Darius Slayton’s 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 37.2.
- Darius Slayton has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
- Darius Slayton’s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 46.0% to 63.1%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
