Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-120/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-120) after it opened @ 195.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
- The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
- The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 30.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
- Daniel Jones has been among the bottom quarterbacks in football this year, averaging 200.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
202
Passing Yards
202
Passing Yards
