Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 18.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has run for many more yards per game (84.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Saquon Barkley’s ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.11 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.28 mark last year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be a much smaller piece of his team’s run game this week (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.0% in games he has played).
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards