Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mike White from EV Insight

Mike WhitePassing Yards

Right now, Mike White’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-127/-108).

The public has bet the OVER up to 260.5 (-127) after it opened @ 240.5 (-115).

Pros

The New York Jets will be rolling with backup quarterback Mike White in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Mike White has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a terrific 70.0% Completion%, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Cons

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
281
Passing Yards