Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 226.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 226.5 (-110) after it opened @ 218.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts’s throwing precision has improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 59.6% to 66.8%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.73 yards-per-target while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Cons

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.4 passes this week, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards