Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 83.5 (+105) after it opened @ 85.5 (-115).

Pros

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 66.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to garner 12.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
Cooper Kupp has notched a whopping 92.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wideouts.

Cons

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Cooper Kupp’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a measly 8.53 yards-per-target vs a 10.36 mark last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) to wideouts this year (62.1%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.90 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
106
Receiving Yards