Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Tua Tagovailoa from EV Insight

Tua TagovailoaPassing Yards

Right now, Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is set at 250.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 250.5 (-110) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for a lot more yards per game (239.0) this season than he did last season (204.0).
Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most accurate passers in the league this year with a stellar 69.3% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Tua Tagovailoa’s throwing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 8.33 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.84 figure last year.

Cons

The Dolphins are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 57.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
274
Passing Yards