NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Miami continued to steamroll through the playoffs, shocking Boston with a second consecutive road win Thursday night, 111-105. The Heat now take a dominating 2-0 series lead with two consecutive games at home in Miami.
Will the Heat follow the lead of the Nuggets and grab a dominant 3-0 series lead? Can Boston find a way to get back in a series where they were the dominant betting favorite? Our FTN NBA Betting model has been very profitable throughout the season, so make sure to check out our biggest edges on Sunday’s exciting Game 3 contest in Miami.
NBA Best Bets
Caleb Martin Under 11.5 Points
(-115, PointsBet)
Let’s fade Caleb Martin’s massive Game 2 performance, where he posted 25 points in 32 minutes. Martin is averaging 20 PPG in this series, after posting just 10.5 PPG against the Knicks. Martin has been under this number 64% of the time this season, three of last five games, and 71% of the time in the last 14 contests against the Celtics. In the playoffs, he has only hit 12 points twice in the last ten home games. Some books have this line at 10.5 for plus-money, I’ll take the extra point at -115 on PointsBet.
Gabe Vincent Over 10.5 Points
(-102, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Not for the faint of heart here, as Gabe Vincent has been under this total in six of the last 10, and 69% of the last 16 matchups with Boston. However, he has done very well at home against the Celtics, beating this number in four of the last six games against Boston at Kaseya Center. However, most of those games were also with Tyler Herro on the floor. In the only home game against the Celtics, without Tyler Herro, Vincent posted 15 points. He is playing huge minutes, averaging 38 minutes per game in the first two matchups of this series. A return to Miami is just what Vincent needs to get going again. We project Vincent for 12.2 points at an 8.2% edge.
Max Strus Over 11.5 Points
(-118, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Going back to this prop, even after falling short by just 0.5 point in Game 2 despite significant foul trouble. I cashed both his over 11.5 points and over 2.5 3PM in Game 1, despite just a two-point first half. Max Strus is still over this number in six of the last 10 and four of the last five. In his last 10 home games, Strus has gone over this number a solid seven times. He has averaged 16.5 PPG in his last three home games in the playoffs. Going back to one of my favorites, Max Strus over 11.5 Points at FanDuel.
