PrizePicks for January 29

I have to be honest with you, it’s been a rough couple outings if you’re tailing my NBA DFS picks on PrizePicks recently. From Clint Capela missing by less than one fantasy point Tuesday (which would have made us a profit), to one pick in every favorite combo missing by less than five points a week ago, we’ve had some frustrating results lately. But that doesn’t mean that we are attacking Friday’s board over at PrizePicks with any less vigor, we’re still comfortably up on the site for the season. We press on, let’s dive in.

If you aren’t familiar, I bet you’re wondering just what the heck is PrizePicks? There’s no shortage of outlets to look for different kinds of fantasy action as we roll along through this NBA season, and after being introduced to PrizePicks a few months ago, it has quickly become a part of my DFS routine. This season, I will be stopping by every week to discuss what’s on the board on the app that is quickly becoming one of my favorite spots to get some hoops action.

PrizePicks is a creative new way to parlay picks based on expected fantasy point production.

The format is simple. PrizePicks will set fantasy point lines for select players and then you choose between two and five players to go over or under their given projection. Naturally, the more players you put into your parlay, the larger the payout! You can enter a “Power Play,” where you must get every pick in your parlay correct to get paid out. Another option is a “Flex Play,” where your payout changes depending on the number of picks you got correct.

Two-player “Power Play” entry pays 3x and “Flex Play” pays 2x for both correct and 0.5x for one correct
Three-player “Power Play” entry pays 5x and “Flex Play” pays 2.25x for three correct and 1.25x for two correct
Four-player “Power Play” entry pays 10x and “Flex Pay” pays 5x for four correct and 1.5x for three correct
Five-player entries are only eligible for “Flex Plays” and pay out 10x for five correct, 2x for four correct and 0.4x for three correct

Friday’s first game locks at 7:30 p.m. ET on PrizePicks. Note that these lines can shift throughout the day leading up to lock just like a spread or moneyline on a game. They will also occasionally add players as the day goes on if injury news changes the outlook for a team. Tag me in the PrizePicks Discord channel up until lock if you want a second pair of eyes on a parlay you’re considering or for help on lines that may have changed since this writing.

Scoring breakdown for PrizePicks contests can be found here.

My 2020-21 PrizePicks record

Picks overall: 68-57
Favorite combos: 15-21
Longshot 5-way parlays:

10x: 2
2x: 3
0.4x: 4
No cash: 4

January 29 PrizePicks

NBA

LaMelo Ball (27.0 points) – OVER
Terry Rozier (31.0 points) – UNDER
Clint Capela (43.0 points) – OVER
RJ Barrett (32.0- points) – UNDER
Fred VanVleet (36.0 points) – OVER
Khris Middleton (38.0 points) – OVER
Aaron Gordon (34.0 points) – OVER
Nicolas Batum (28.0 points) – UNDER
LaMarcus Aldridge (25.0 points) – OVER

Favorite combinations

Aaron Gordon (o34.0), Fred VanVleet (o36.0)
Nicolas Batum (u28.0), LaMarcus Aldridge (o25.0)
LaMelo Ball (o27.0), RJ Barrett (u32.0)

Power play payout: 3x
Flex play payout: 2x for two correct, 0.5x for one correct

Favorite longshot five-way flex play of the day

I’m not a huge fan of doing the largest offering of a five-way parlay on a daily basis, but if I was to run one out there today on PrizePicks, here’s what I would throw in.

Aaron Gordon (o34.0), Nicolas Batum (u28.0), LaMarcus Aldridge (o25.0), Fred VanVleet (o36.0), RJ Barrett (u32.0)
- Flex play payout: 10x for five correct, 2x for four correct, 0.4x for three correct