FTN NFL Model Best Bet: Week 17

Welcome to FTN’s NFL Model best bet. We use our incredible NFL data to find value in the betting markets. 

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The Saints refused to help get us over the total of 42 last week as they got shutout by the Packers 34-0 in Lambeau. That loss puts our 2024 NFL Model article record at 10-7 (+2.42) as we get down to the last two weeks of the regular season. The NFL Week 17 betting market is a bit tighter than last week, but the FTN Model still has identified a few larger edges. We’re betting on scoring again as two three-win AFC South teams meet in Jacksonville. Despite both teams being led by backup QBs, the FTN NFL Model projects the Titans and Jaguars to both score 20-plus points. This gives us a 12.47% edge on the current market total of 39.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook. Good luck if you’re tailing.

2024 DVOA:

Overall
Tennessee Titans: 29
Jacksonville Jaguars: 26

Offense
Tennessee Titans: 31
Jacksonville Jaguars: 17

Defense
Tennessee Titans: 15
Jacksonville Jaguars: 32

Best Bet

Titans/Jaguars Over 39.5 (-108, FanDuel Sportsbook) 

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