Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (+115/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 77.5 (+115) after it opened @ 76.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles are an enormous 13.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Miles Sanders has run for significantly more yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (57.0).
Opposing teams have run for the most yards in the NFL (180 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards