Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Alvin Kamara from EV Insight

Alvin KamaraRushing Yards

Right now, Alvin Kamara’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to notch 16.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Alvin Kamara has earned 58.4% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Alvin Kamara has grinded out 67.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (86th percentile).
The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Cons

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 97 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards