Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Alvin KamaraRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Saints vs. Ravens
Right now, Alvin Kamara’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to notch 16.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
- Alvin Kamara has earned 58.4% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
- The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
- Alvin Kamara has grinded out 67.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (86th percentile).
- The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.
Cons
- The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 97 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
