Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jakobi Meyers from EV Insight

Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards

Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.53 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has been a big part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 26.0% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has compiled a whopping 72.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has put up quite a few more receiving yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Cons

The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 126.0) to WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards