Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 82.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 11.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a much bigger part of his offense’s passing attack this week (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.0% in games he has played).
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- DeAndre Hopkins’s skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 1.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 mark last season.
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 130.0) versus wide receivers this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63%) vs. wideouts this year (63.0%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
98
Receiving Yards
98
Receiving Yards
