Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Jaguars vs. Raiders
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 77.5 (-110) after it opened @ 79.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.3% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to garner 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
- Davante Adams has been a big part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.0% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
- Davante Adams has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (114.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).
- The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per play.
- Davante Adams has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
- Davante Adams’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 59.2%.
- Davante Adams’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling just 7.93 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 mark last season.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64%) vs. wide receivers this year (64.0%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards
85
Receiving Yards
