Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Buccaneers vs. Rams
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-135/+105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 83.5 (+105) after it opened @ 85.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 66.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to garner 12.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
- Cooper Kupp has notched a whopping 92.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- Cooper Kupp’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a measly 8.53 yards-per-target vs a 10.36 mark last year.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) to wideouts this year (62.1%).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.90 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
106
Receiving Yards
106
Receiving Yards
