Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-105) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accrue 8.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave has accrued a monstrous 139.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching just 59.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among WRs
Chris Olave has been among the bottom wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards