Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Saints vs. Ravens
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-105) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accrue 8.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
- Chris Olave has accrued a monstrous 139.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Chris Olave has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching just 59.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among WRs
- Chris Olave has been among the bottom wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards
76
Receiving Yards
