Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Godwin from EV Insight

Chris GodwinReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to total 9.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Chris Godwin has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
Chris Godwin’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 69.7%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards