Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brevin Jordan from EV Insight

Brevin JordanReceiving Yards

Right now, Brevin Jordan’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 19.5 (-115) after it opened @ 17.5 (-114).

Pros

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 69.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Cons

The Houston Texans have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.4 plays per game.
Brevin Jordan has been a more integral piece of his team’s offense this season, staying in the game for 48.4% of snaps compared to just 36.2% last season.
Brevin Jordan has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Brevin Jordan’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.7% to 37.0%.
Brevin Jordan’s pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, notching just 1.93 yards-per-target vs a 6.32 mark last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards