Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for P.J. Walker from EV Insight

P.J. WalkerPassing Yards

Right now, P.J. Walker’s passing yards prop is set at 191.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 191.5 (-110) after it opened @ 197.5 (-115).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Phillip Walker’s passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 53.0% to 61.1%.
Phillip Walker’s passing effectiveness has improved this year, notching 7.04 yards-per-target vs a measly 5.69 figure last year.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 214.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
213
Passing Yards