NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Marcus MariotaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Falcons vs. Chargers
Right now, Marcus Mariota’s passing yards prop is set at 179.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 179.5 (-105) after it opened @ 187.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Marcus Mariota has passed for significantly more yards per game (174.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
- Marcus Mariota has been among the most efficient QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.76 yards-per-target while checking in at the 86th percentile.
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (73.6%).
- The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.10 seconds per snap.
- THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 30.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
- Marcus Mariota has been among the least accurate QBs in the league this year with a 61.2% Completion%, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards
237
Passing Yards
