NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Andy DaltonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Saints vs. Ravens
Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 230.5 (-115) after it opened @ 236.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- Andy Dalton has thrown for substantially more yards per game (224.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the most yards in the league (294.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.0 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
253
Passing Yards
253
Passing Yards
