Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Najee Harris from EV Insight

Najee HarrisRushing Yards

Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (+100) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to earn 14.3 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

The Steelers are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 34.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Najee Harris has run for many fewer yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 105 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards