Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Eagles vs. Steelers
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-112) after it opened @ 66.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 16.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Miles Sanders’s ground efficiency has declined this season, accumulating just 4.65 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.44 mark last season.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards
70
Rushing Yards
