Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kareem Hunt from EV Insight

Kareem HuntRushing Yards

Right now, Kareem Hunt’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (+102/-139).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-139) after it opened @ 53.5 (-119).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.7 per game on average).
While Kareem Hunt has received 28.8% of his offense’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cleveland’s rushing attack in this game at 41.4%.
The Browns O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

Cons

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to use backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The Seahawks defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Seattle’s unit has been terrific this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards