Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kareem HuntRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Browns
Right now, Kareem Hunt’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-139) after it opened @ 53.5 (-119).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 65.7 per game on average).
- While Kareem Hunt has received 28.8% of his offense’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Cleveland’s rushing attack in this game at 41.4%.
- The Browns O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
Cons
- The Cleveland Browns will be forced to use backup quarterback PJ Walker in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- This week’s line implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
- The Seahawks defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
- As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Seattle’s unit has been terrific this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards
50
Rushing Yards
