NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Giants
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in football.
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) to wide receivers this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.2%) vs. WRs this year (63.2%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
