Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyreek Hill from EV Insight

Tyreek HillReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards prop is set at 88.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 88.5 (-115) after it opened @ 82.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to accrue 11.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Tyreek Hill has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (98.0) this year than he did last year (66.0).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in football (70.1%) vs. wideouts this year (70.1%).

Cons

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
110
Receiving Yards