Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Lockett from EV Insight

Tyler LockettReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Lockett’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 61.5 (-130) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to notch 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Tyler Lockett’s 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 89th percentile for wide receivers.
Tyler Lockett has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 66.0 yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
Tyler Lockett’s sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 69.4% to 78.9%.
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Cons

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Tyler Lockett has posted quite a few less air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards