Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tyler LockettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Giants
Right now, Tyler Lockett’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 61.5 (-130) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to notch 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
- Tyler Lockett’s 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 89th percentile for wide receivers.
- Tyler Lockett has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 66.0 yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
- Tyler Lockett’s sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 69.4% to 78.9%.
- The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.4 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
- Tyler Lockett has posted quite a few less air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
