Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-105) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to total 9.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has been a more important option in his offense’s passing attack this season (33.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (26.6%).
Mark Andrews has posted a monstrous 95.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.

Cons

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.1 plays per game.
Mark Andrews has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
Mark Andrews’s possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 67.8%.
Mark Andrews’s pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, notching a measly 8.15 yards-per-target vs a 9.34 rate last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 45.0) to tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards