Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Cowboys vs. Bears
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 32.5 (-125) after it opened @ 32.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 74.0% of his team’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among TEs.
- Dalton Schultz’s talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this year, averaging 5.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.42 mark last year.
Cons
- The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
- Dalton Schultz has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
- Dalton Schultz has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards
40
Receiving Yards
