Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dallas Goedert from EV Insight

Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards

Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Dallas Goedert has compiled quite a few more receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Cons

The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dallas Goedert has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (66.5%) vs. tight ends this year (66.5%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards