Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-163/+118).

The public has bet the OVER up to 93.5 (-163) after it opened @ 91.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to total 11.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
Cooper Kupp’s 80.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 71.9.
Cooper Kupp has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 101.0 yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
Cooper Kupp has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cooper Kupp’s receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, notching just 8.68 yards-per-target compared to a 10.36 mark last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
115
Receiving Yards