Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 70.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accrue 9.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
CeeDee Lamb has been much more involved in his team’s passing offense this season (31.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.3%).
CeeDee Lamb has posted quite a few more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).

Cons

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
CeeDee Lamb’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 58.3%.
CeeDee Lamb’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a mere 7.64 yards-per-target compared to a 9.37 figure last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
90
Receiving Yards