Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Buccaneers vs. Ravens
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-140/+110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-140) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 68.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Cons
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on a lowly 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
