WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Rams vs. 49ers
Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).
Pros
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to total 9.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to be much more involved in his team’s passing offense this week (27.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).
- Brandon Aiyuk has posted many more air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
- Brandon Aiyuk has accumulated a lot more receiving yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.2% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in football.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards
81
Receiving Yards
