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Chris Meaney
Brandin CooksReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Texans vs. Titans
Right now, Brandin Cooks’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-125) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to total 9.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 56.7 plays per game.
- Brandin Cooks has been a much smaller piece of his team’s passing game this year (23.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (28.2%).
- Brandin Cooks has notched quite a few less air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
- Brandin Cooks has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards
71
Receiving Yards
