WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Texans vs. Titans
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (-115) after it opened @ 11.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
- Austin Hooper has run a route on 61.4% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper has earned a whopping 10.5% of his team’s air yards this year: 83rd percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 77.9%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 52.5 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Austin Hooper has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards
20
Receiving Yards
