Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-104) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 8.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his team’s passing offense this year (26.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper’s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.7% to 62.5%.
Amari Cooper’s pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 7.81 yards-per-target vs a 9.76 figure last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) to wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards