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Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

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Amari Cooper

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 8

Browns vs. Bengals

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-104) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 8.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his team’s passing offense this year (26.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Amari Cooper’s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.7% to 62.5%.
  • Amari Cooper’s pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 7.81 yards-per-target vs a 9.76 figure last year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) to wideouts this year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards

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